The heat map below depicts Management’s assessment of the residual risks impacting Ascencia at the end of the financial year and anticipation of
the evolution of those risks over the next three years.
Our estimate of the evolution of the significant residual risks over the next three years amidst lots of uncertainties is as follows:
Climate Change
Climate change is a risk to the business in as much as it challenges the
Company’s resilience to its effects. Increasingly, the impacts of climate
change are placing pressure on businesses to both minimize the impact,
as well as ensure their future operating model is green and sustainable
while remaining relevant as consumers shift behaviours to minimise their
carbon impact.
At Ascencia, management has already taken several green initiatives such
as the installation of rooftop photovoltaic farm, recycling of waste and
used oil, use of green products, energy consumption schemes and LEED
certification. These initiatives are clear opportunities tapped by
management to mitigate the risks.
STRATEGIC
Sustainability of Income
Adverse economic conditions due to current crisis (COVID-19) resulting in a drop in trading density, pressure on rent to income turnover ratio and difficulty in sustaining income.
Competition
The increase in the level of current and expected competition may lead to supply of space rented exceeding demand, and a decrease in footfall.
Disruptive Technology
Shoppers’ expectations and behaviours are evolving and partly shaped by developments in technology such as e-commerce. Should these expectations not be met, this may result in a decline in footfall, which would in turn, impact on tenants.
FINANCIAL
Valuation
Weakening economic conditions could lead to poor financial performance of Tenants, resulting in an adverse movement in valuation.
Credit / Default (Tenants)
Inability of tenants to sustain their financial performance leading to:
The above will in turn, impact the Company’s ability to meet financial obligations and dividend payments.
Debt Obligations
Inability to meet Debt covenants may lead to loss of confidence fromproviders of finance and decreasepotential to raise finance.
OPERATIONAL
Business Continuity
Breakdown in operations as a result of:
Catastrophe
Social Unrest
Protests and unemployment may lead to riots and looting.
Catastrophe
Social Unrest
Development and deployment of emergency preparedness plans across Malls.
Fire
Fire
Information Security
Policy Decisions
Impact on the business as a result of:
Lease Expiry/Renewal
Non-renewal of lease at expiry date or renewal over a shorter period may increase vacancy.
Compliance
PEOPLE
Service Providers
Property & Asset Manager and Fund Manager
Other service providers (suppliers)
Property & Asset Manager and Fund Manager
Other service providers (suppliers)
Sustainability of Income
Adverse economic conditions due to current crisis (COVID-19) resulting in a drop in trading density,
pressure on rent to income turnover ratio and difficulty in
sustaining income.
• Extension of Bagatelle Mall with new entrance & parking lots,
Decathlon, 42 Market Street and new international brands.
• Successful negotiation with Metro Express in Phoenix Mall.
• Tenant Relief plan proposed to tenants following the
two national lockdowns.
• Improvement in Customer Service through digitalisation of
operations and upgrading of properties (painting,
waterproofing, landscaping).